Driving to Safety - Which Distance of Driving Would It Take to Demonstrate Autonomous Vehicle Safety?

Crashes

Injuries

Fatalities

Country (year)	Crash rate	Injury rate	Fatality rate
USA (2013)	190e-8 per mile	77e-8 per mile	1.09e-8 per mile
Germany (2019)	3557e-9 per kilometer	513e-9 per kilometer	4.0e-9 per kilometer

Unit Kilometers Miles Confidence Interval Precision Improvement over human drivers Calculate

Results

Distance to be driven without failure to demonstrate failure rate is below some benchmark

Distance to be driven to demonstrate failure rate to a particular degree of precision

Distance to be driven to demonstrate failure rate is statistically significantly lower than human driver failure rate